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What do the numbers say about the Badgers coming to Happy Valley?

Penn St. Nittany Lions (6-3; 3-3 Big Ten East) vs Wisconsin Badgers (6-3; 4-2 Big Ten West)

12:00 p.m. ET, November 10, 2018–ABC

Beaver Stadium (Capacity: 106,579 / University Park, PA)

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Penn State Value (Nat’l Rank) Value (Nat’l Rank) Wisconsin Advantage
Rushing Offense (ypg) 207.9 (34) 159.4 (61) Rushing Defense (ypg) new PSU logo
Passing Offense (ypg) 221.2 (80) 193.3 (T – 30) Passing Defense (ypg) Wisconsin_logo_medium Wisconsin_logo_medium
Pass Efficiency 132.85 (74) 118.06 (33) Pass Efficiency Defense Wisconsin_logo_medium
Total Offense (ypg) 429.1 (49) 352.8 (35) Total Defense (ypg) Push
Scoring Offense (ppg) 37.2 (T – 23) 20.9 (25) Scoring Defense (ppg) Push
Rushing Defense (ypg) 172.2 (79) 273.0 (4) Rushing Offense (ypg) Wisconsin_logo_medium Wisconsin_logo_medium Wisconsin_logo_medium
Passing Defense (ypg) 216.3 (51) 174.2(110) Passing Offense (ypg) new PSU logo new PSU logo
Pass Efficiency Defense 110.45 (19) 133.29 (71) Pass Efficiency new PSU logo new PSU logo
Total Defense (ypg) 388.6 (59) 447.2 (34)) Total Offense (ypg) Wisconsin_logo_medium
Scoring Defense (ppg) 24.4 (T – 49) 31.0 (T – 49) Scoring Offense (ppg) Push
Punt Return Defense (ypr) 7.00 (T – 49) 8.89 (70) Punt Return Yds Push
Punt Return Yds 9.11 (67) 6.83 (48) Punt Return Defense (ypr) Push
Net Punting Yds 37.08 (T – 75) 33.58 (119) Net Punting Yds new PSU logo
Kickoff Return Yds 27.08 (8) 20.75 (66) Kickoff Return Defense new PSU logo new PSU logo
Kickoff Return Defense 23.59 (104) 18.65 (98) Kickoff Return Yds Push
Turnover Margin -0.11 (T – 75) +0.33 (T – 41) Turnover Margin Wisconsin_logo_medium
Passes Had Intercepted 6 (T – 42) 10 (T – 24) Passes Intercepted Push
Passes Intercepted 9 (T – 33) 8 (T – 69) Passes Had Intercepted new PSU logo
Penalty Yds/Game 48.78 (36) 45.89 (28) Penalty Yds/Game Push
Sacks 3.22 (T – 9) 1.44 (T – 30) Sacks Allowed Push
Sacks Allowed 2.33 (T – 76) 1.33 (T – 114) Sacks new PSU logo
Tackles for Loss (tpg) 7.40 (T – 20) 3.11 (T – 1) Tackles for Loss Allowed (tpg) Push
Tackles for Loss Allowed (tpg) 5.22 (T – 38) 4.70 (T – 113) Tackles for Loss (tpg) new PSU logo new PSU logo new PSU logo
Redzone Offense (%) 94.6% (8) 80.0% (T – 39) Redzone Defense (%) new PSU logo
Redzone Defense (%) 76.9% (T – 25) 94.1% (9) Redzone Offense (%) Push
Redzone TD % 81.08% 53.33% Redzone TD % Defense Push
Redzone TD % Defense 69.23% 76.47% Redzone TD % Push
3rd Down Conv. % 34.2% (110) 39.3% (72) 3rd Down Defense % Wisconsin_logo_medium
3rd Down Defense % 35.3% (41) 45.2% (T – 23) 3rd Down Conv. % Push
4th Down Conv. % 46.2% (T – 97) 25.0% (T – 4) 4th Down Defense % Wisconsin_logo_medium Wisconsin_logo_medium Wisconsin_logo_medium
4th Down Defense % 50.0% (T – 60) 55.6% (T – 51) 4th Down Conv. % Push
1st Downs 187 (T – 70) 154 (T – 19) 1st Downs Allowed Wisconsin_logo_medium Wisconsin_logo_medium
1st Downs Allowed 202 (T – 96) 203 (T – 44) 1st Downs Wisconsin_logo_medium Wisconsin_logo_medium
Time of Possession 27 (122) 32 (15) Time of Possession Wisconsin_logo_medium Wisconsin_logo_medium Wisconsin_logo_medium Wisconsin_logo_medium

Difference >25 in National Rank = new PSU logo

Difference >50 in National Rank = new PSU logonew PSU logo

Difference >75 in National Rank = new PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logo

Difference >100 in National Rank =new PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logo

Note:

All of the above rankings are taken directly from the NCAA ; I removed strength of schedule this week, due to data not being updated as of the writing of this piece.

The Redzone TD% and Redzone TD% Defense are calculated by me and not ranked by the NCAA. Determining who has the advantage in these categories is strictly my arbitrary judgment.

Quick thoughts:

You’d think that after a manhandling in Ann Arbor, the Nittany Lions’ numbers would drop; you would be correct. But they didn’t drop so much that they’d be non-competitive with the Wisconsin Badgers .

Wisconsin has a great running game, but an awful passing offense – which plays into the defense’s strengths. And couple that with KJ Hamler matching up well against anyone on the Badgers’ special teams, or defense, and this could be a good bounce back for PSU.

What say you all?

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