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How will PSU match up against the Spartans? Even if it wasn’t Homecoming after a BYE, the Lions look good.

Penn St. Nittany Lions (4-1; 1-1 Big Ten East) vs Michigan State Spartans (3-2; 1-1 Big Ten East)

3:30 p.m. ET, October 13, 2018–Big Ten Network

Beaver Stadium (Capacity: 106,579 / University Park, PA)

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Penn State Value (Nat’l Rank) Value (Nat’l Rank) Michigan State
State
Advantage
Rushing Offense (ypg) 261.2 (12) 33.8 (1) Rushing Defense (ypg) Push
Passing Offense (ypg) 248.88 (54) 305.00) Passing Defense (ypg) new PSU logo new PSU logo
Pass Efficiency 152.51 (30) 126.63 (57) Pass Efficiency Defense new PSU logo
Total Offense (ypg) 510.0 (14) 339.0 (28) Total Defense (ypg) Push
Scoring Offense (ppg) 49.6 (5) 23.4 (T – 41) Scoring Defense (ppg) new PSU logo
Rushing Defense (ypg) 161.8 (67) 123.0 (109) Rushing Offense (ypg) new PSU logo
Passing Defense (ypg) 192.6 (33) 266.8 (38) Passing Offense (ypg) Push
Pass Efficiency Defense 115.74 (31) 132.49 (73) Pass Efficiency new PSU logo
Total Defense (ypg) 354.4 (45) 389.8 (82) Total Offense (ypg) new PSU logo
Scoring Defense (ppg) 21.0 (34) 27.2 (84) Scoring Offense (ppg) new PSU logo new PSU logo
Punt Return Defense (ypr) 0.80 (7) 7.00 (86)) Punt Return Yds new PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logo
Punt Return Yds 13.38 (31) 7.33 (T – 59) Punt Return Defense (ypr) new PSU logo
Net Punting Yds 39.76 (37) 36.40 (84) Net Punting Yds new PSU logo
Kickoff Return Yds 25.60 (19) 18.10 (27) Kickoff Return Defense Push
Kickoff Return Defense 21.55 (74) 25.67 (18) Kickoff Return Yds
Turnover Margin +0.20 (T – 50) 0.00 (T – 60) Turnover Margin Push
Passes Had Intercepted 2 (T – 9) 9 (T – 7) Passes Intercepted Push
Passes Intercepted 5 (T – 44) 6 (T – 92) Passes Had Intercepted new PSU logo
Penalty Yds/Game 55.20 (T – 59) 64.00 (83) Penalty Yds/Game
Sacks 3.2.0 (T – 14) 2.40 (T – 82) Sacks Allowed new PSU logo new PSU logo
Sacks Allowed 1.80 (T – 54) 2.60 (T – 40) Sacks Push
Tackles for Loss (tpg) 8.80 (T – 9) 6.20 (T – 76) Tackles for Loss Allowed (tpg) new PSU logo new PSU logo
Tackles for Loss Allowed (tpg) 5.60 (T – 51) 7.20 (30) Tackles for Loss (tpg) Push
Redzone Offense (%) 100.0% (T – 1) 83.3% (T – 62) Redzone Defense (%) new PSU logo new PSU logo
Redzone Defense (%) 69.2% (T – 10) 87.0% (T – 54) Redzone Offense (%) new PSU logo
Redzone TD % 92.00% 50.00% Redzone TD % Defense new PSU logo
Redzone TD % Defense 61.54% 56.52% Redzone TD % new PSU logo
3rd Down Conv. % 40.9% (57) 35.6% (50) 3rd Down Defense % Push
3rd Down Defense % 31.6% (22) 37.7% (84) 3rd Down Conv. % new PSU logo new PSU logo
4th Down Conv. % 50.0% (T – 72) 50.0% (T – 49) 4th Down Defense % Push
4th Down Defense % 37.5% (T – 30) 50.0% (T – 49) 4th Down Conv. % Push
1st Downs 126 (T – 41) 99 (T – 42) 1st Downs Allowed Push
1st Downs Allowed 102 (T – 41) 110 (T – 78) 1st Downs new PSU logo
Time of Possession 28 (93) 34 (9) Time of Possession
Strength of Schedule 28 34 Strength of Schedule Push

Difference >25 in National Rank = new PSU logo

Difference >50 in National Rank = new PSU logonew PSU logo

Difference >75 in National Rank = new PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logo

Difference >100 in National Rank =new PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logo

Note:

All of the above rankings are taken directly from the NCAA except for strength of schedule, which is not ranked by the NCAA and instead taken from S&P+ .

The Redzone TD% and Redzone TD% Defense are calculated by me and not ranked by the NCAA. Determining who has the advantage in these categories is strictly my arbitrary judgment.

Quick thoughts:

And I thought the stats looked bad in Penn State’s matchup with Illinoi s…

Last year, the stats favored the Nittany Lions in this matchup; absent a monsoon that delayed the game mid-second quarter, they might have more accurately reflected the game. Even 2016 saw MSU, on paper , more evenly matched with Penn State. This year, though, the numbers are even more lopsided towards the team in the blue and white; and with some Spartan starters out for injury, this could even get worse.

Trace McSorley leading a squad after a BYE week, at home? I wouldn’t bet against topping these numbers.

What say you all?

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